Clippers-Suns picks, NBA playoff betting odds: Why Phoenix will likely punch its NBA Finals ticket on Monday

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Clippers-Suns picks, NBA playoff betting odds: Why Phoenix will likely punch its NBA Finals ticket on Monday

I know I keep messing with it, but Monday will be the Clippers’ 14th game in 27 days. It will be Phoenix’s 10th in the same time span. Paul George played 694 minutes this postseason. The next Sun, Devin Booker, played 562. Seven players have played 500 minutes this postseason, and four of them are clippers. The suns deserve credit for the state they are in. Sweeping the Nuggets gave them a week of rest before the Western Conference finale. If the Clippers had taken care of business in the first round against Dallas, they would be a lot fresher now. Kawhi Leonard might not have injured himself. But that didn’t happen. The Clippers are exhausted and exhausted from injury, and while I rarely suggest taking gambling tips based on feeling, Game 4 certainly seemed to be their last stand, an all-out attempt to extend this streak long enough for Leonard to return . But now, after two heartbreaking defeats, they’re 3-1 behind and look like they’re out of gas. I expect the Suns to reach the NBA finals on Monday. How they’re going to do it, well, that’s what today’s top picks are for. All lines over William Hill Sportsbook Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix SunsGame 5: Phoenix Leads Series 3-1 Time: 9pm ET | TV: ESPN | Live Stream: fuboTV (try for free) Game 4 was an outlier, the lowest scoring game in the postseason for several years, but that doesn’t mean this was a high attack potential series. Games 2 and 3 were both below this projected total score. Some of that is the exhaustion of the clippers. Some of it was an increased workload for Patrick Beverley and Ivica Zubac. Some of this can be attributed to Phoenix’s excellent defense. The bottom line is that if these teams don’t get hot from behind, this is likely to remain a low-scoring streak. The Choice: Below 214.5 (-110) Vegas simply refuses to study. Reggie Jackson has hit the over in all six games he has played since Leonard’s demise. He’s scored more points than Booker in the last three games, and Booker’s line is seven points higher. I don’t think about it. Until Jackson falls to earth, I will continue to pick him up. The pick: Jackson Over 19.5 points (-120) DeAndre Ayton had nine offensive rebounds in Game 4. It wasn’t a coincidence. The suns very deliberately pulled Ivica Zubac off the edge through clever switch hunting. Zubac defended remarkably well in the circumstances, but the fact that he spent so much game on the perimeter meant Ayton was alone under the basket for offensive rebounds. He won’t get nine anymore, but four or five seems realistic. Against this background, this sum is too low. The pick: Ayton over 11.5 rebounds (+105)

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